Football

USA vs. Wales prediction, odds, betting tips,  best bets for World Cup 2022

USA vs. Wales prediction: In what is likely to decide one of the two Group B qualifiers, the United States and Wales open their tournament with a crucial matchup on the first full day of the tournament.

It is rare that such an important match is played this early in the tournament, but with the USA and Wales expected to drop it behind group favorites England, there is a sense of tension about the contest.

Both teams entered the tournament in troubling form. The U.S. roared through a pair of brutal pre-World Cup friendlies against Japan and Saudi Arabia in September that was extremely frustrating, while Wales have lost three in a row in the Nations League and lost 1-0 to Ukraine. Have not won since victory in cup qualification.

Still, both sides are among the top 20 teams in the world according to FIFA, and both will have their sights set on the knockout stages. A draw would do each side the world of good, but a win would already put them one step into the round of 16.

USA vs. Wales odds

Bettors have no idea exactly how this match will play out, with almost lifeless odds on all three Moneyline selections.

However, they agree that goals will be at a premium in this match. Picking “No” is significantly favored over both teams to score, while a goal total under 2.5 is weighted even more heavily, at about 1/2.

BetMGMSportsInteractionSkyBet
USA win+1602.596/4
Draw+2002.832/1
Wales win+1952.922/1
Both teamsto score Y / N+105 / -1451.96 / 1.671/1, 8/11
Over / Under2.5 goals+140 / -2002.42 / 1.5013/8, 4/9
USA -0.5+1452.49
Wales +0.5-2101.50

USA vs. Wales: 3 things to know

USA vs. Wales team news

The United States must be fully fit to come into the World Cup, with only defender Myles Robinson out after recovering from an Achilles injury in May. Otherwise, Greg Berhalter couldn’t have asked for better news, with both Tim Weah and Gio Reyna fit after long-term injury problems. Sergino remains the only concern for Dest, but if he can’t feature there are plenty of right-sided options on the US roster.

For Wales, it’s a similar story, and head coach Rob Page will be pleased to see only midfielder Joe Allen giving him any trouble. The Swansea City man has not played since mid-September with a hamstring injury, but Joe Morrell, Dylan Leavitt, and Ethan Ampadu are ready to take over if needed.

USA vs. Wales key stats

These two sides have met twice, both in friendlies, one won by the US and the other ending in a draw.
Wales is in their first World Cup since 1985, while the USA return after being knocked out of the 2018 tournament.

Brendan Aaronson is the only player in the entire Premier League this season to win multiple tackles in the opposition penalty area. According to FBRef, he is among the leading wingers and attacking midfielders in defensive actions leading to goals in Europe’s top five leagues.

USA vs. Wales match facts

  • Date: Monday, November 21
  • Kickoff Time: 2:00 pm ET / 7:00 pm GMT / 6:00 am AEDT (Tue, Nov. 22)
  • Location: Al Rayyan Stadium
  • Official: TBD

USA vs. Wales prediction

  • Moneyline lean: Draw (+200)
  • Against the spread lean: Wales +0.5 (-210)
  • Score prediction: USA 2-2 Wales

Both of these sides have significant strengths that complement the weaknesses of the other teams. Wales’ pace could be positive against the US, who have often struggled to defend counter-attacks, while the US’s high press could make it difficult for a Wales team that doesn’t like to keep the ball and struggles under pressure. will do

Given these traits, it’s hard to see a winner in this match, but despite the betting market’s view, the game looks set to be scored. If forced to pick a winner, I’d lean slightly toward America, but you’ll notice that most of the picks below are more focused on the flow of the game than who comes out on top.

USA vs. Wales: best bet

Here’s a full breakdown of how to approach the USA vs Wales match. With little to separate the parties, and little to help us know what to expect from the United States, picking a winner seems a difficult process. Instead, most of our picks focus on game flow.

USA vs. Wales best bet

  • Pick: Both teams to score
  • Odds: +105 (BetMGM)

As mentioned above, the way these two teams match up, it’s hard not to see goals in this game and for both sides.

The United States has struggled to score goals in recent months, but Wales has kept just one clean sheet since March, spanning nine matches. The only clean sheet in that run was perfectly timed, as they kept Ukraine off the board in their World Cup qualification play-off final.

Yet even in that game, Wales conceded 2.21 goals against and faced 22 shots, including 12 inside the penalty area, and only managed to keep a clean sheet thanks to Wayne Hennessy’s superb performance. stayed

On the other hand, the U.S. was horribly shredded by Japan in its most recent friendly, and further back, concessions against El Salvador and Panama during continental play prove they can be breached. . With Wales looking to find the back of the net using pure speed and physicality, it is easily conceivable that the European play-off winner could outplay Matt Turner.

The skew makes the total over-attractive at +140, but I’d prefer to stick with both teams to score at Steel plus odds to allow for the possibility of a 1-1 draw.

USA vs. Wales prop bet

  • Pick: Over 8.5 corners
  • Odds: -115 (FanDuel)

Thinking about the flow of play in this match, it makes a lot of sense that these two sides end up in back-and-forth, fast-paced thriller and rack-up set pieces. Both teams have dangerous set pieces — Gareth Bale for Wales and Weston McKinney for the U.S. — so that could be part of the game plan.

With Wales’ pace and the vertical and high-pressure, somewhat direct nature of the United States, this match could be full of corners. Sadly, when the odds are checked, it appears that this is factored in, and the total is inflated. The 8.5 corner is a lot of backing, and it gave me pause when picking this one, but I stand by my analysis of the match. That’s a high bar to clear, but one that should be doable for these teams.

USA vs. Wales prop bet

  • Pick: Half with the most goals: The first half
  • Odds: +235 (FanDuel)

In matches with a lot on the line, it’s often cagey early on, while sometimes teams open things up in the second half and try to win the game.

Not here. In this match, with the momentum of utmost importance, I’m looking for a flipped script. Both of these teams will want to use their fresh legs to attack the other side, and it should make for an entertaining start. Once a team gets its lead, it will lock it down completely and protect the advantage.

USA vs. Wales flier bet

  • Pick: Time of First Goal — 1st to 10th minute
  • Odds: +440 (BetMGM)
  • Pick: Time of First Goal — 11th to 20th minute
  • Odds: +470 (BetMGM)

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