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UFC 277 betting guide – Pick Amanda Nunes to beat Julianna Peña and reclaim the bantamweight belt

UFC 277 betting guide: Amanda Nunes hadn’t lost in more than seven years until Juliana Pena’s stunning second-round submission via chokehold in December.

Nunes, 34, was a two-belt UFC champion before being knocked off her bantamweight throne. Can she deal with her second loss in barely more than seven months on Saturday night when she rematches Peña in the main event of UFC 277 at the American Airlines Center in Dallas?

“I don’t think I could pick Amanda Nunes losing to anyone, let alone twice,” said MMA Junkie’s Mike Bohn. “But these things happen.

We’ve seen it with all the greats. . . They find that enemy (they cannot beat).

In this week’s fight betting guide, we look at the biggest matchups on the UFC pay-per-view card (ESPN+, 10 p.m. ET) and preview the Showtime-televised boxing card at Brooklyn’s Barclays Center, headlined by former Two-division champion Danny Garcia vs. one-time former title challenger Jose Benavidez Jr.

UFC 277 Main Event: Julianna Peña (12-4) vs. Amanda Nunes (21-5)
Up for grabs: Pena’s bantamweight belt

Tipico Sportsbook odds: Nunes (-290), Peña (+220); Over/Under Round 2.5 (Under -116)

Nunes was suspended in December after an exchange of heavy hands with Pena went spectacularly awry. Nunes said she was injured entering the fight, but did not withdraw because she had already withdrawn once due to COVID-19.

Since then, he has stopped working with his longtime coaches and trainers at American Top Team and opened his own gym.

“I honestly thought it was going to be just another title defense, and an easy one at that,” Bohn said. “But Juliana Pena clearly had a different plan. You could see this wasn’t the same Amanda. With all the things she said, combined with the fact her cardio looked worse, it There are many things to say about Amanda’s off night.

LAST TIME: Juliana Pena submits Amanda Nunes in the second round to win the UFC women’s bantamweight title in stunning fashion.

While Bohn praised Pena’s tenacity, he expressed concern about how she could participate in another toe-to-toe battle.

“As long as Amanda doesn’t get too crazy out there, I see Amanda wearing her down,” said Bohan, who added that Nunes is somewhat “playing with the house’s money” here because she’s feathered. Also wears a weight belt.

“What they both bring to the table is depth and whoever has the most commitment here wins,” he said.

Pick Separate Bet: To Win Nonce; Over 2.5 rounds.

Brandon Moreno (19-6-2) vs. Kai Cara France (24-9)
Up for grabs: Interim flyweight title

Odds: Moreno (-220), Cara-France (+170); Over/Under Round 4.5 (over -180)

With champion Davison Figueredo and the UFC at odds over his delayed return from injury, former Mexican champion Moreno gets another chance at a title shot in a rematch of a 2019 fight that goes the distance. Moreno won by unanimous decision.

“A rematch of a fight that was very close and competitive and went five rounds,” Bohn said. “These boys are both good scramblers, both very quick. I don’t think a lot of people thought Kai Cara-France would come here after his slow start, but he has put it together (Moreno’s 4-1 with three bonuses since the loss), and that would be his biggest game changer.

Moreno’s switch to join renowned trainer James Krause at Kansas should provide the decisive margin here.

“Moreno has taken his game to a new level in the last few years, and I’m curious to see how he will fare leaving Mexico and training with Kroos, who is really singing his praises,” said Bohn. Bohan said. “Brandon Moreno is the better fighter than Cara France. I see this going five rounds with a lot of exchanges and a lot of brawls – a fun, competitive fight of the night with Moreno likely to win 49-46.”

Pick: Parle Moreno over 4.5 rounds.

No. 5 Derrick Lewis (26-9) vs. No. 11 Sergey Pavlovich (15-1), heavyweight
Odds: Pavlovic (-140), Lewis (+110); Over Under Rounds 1.5 (under-165)

Fan favorite Lewis, 37, could be used as a big name here to focus on Russia’s 30-year-old Pavlovich, who has won three straight first-round knockouts and two performances on the night. Claimed

Lewis, who holds the UFC record for most knockout wins (13), has been stopped twice in his last three bouts.

“Derrick Lewis is willing to fight literally anybody, saying, ‘As long as they pay me well, I’ll be there,'” Bohn said. “Usually, those are the kind of fights he wins, going through some adversity. But he’s big, he’s been through a lot of tough fights, and I wonder if we’re on the downside of Derrick Lewis here. have arrived. This fight will tell us.”

Pick: Sergei Pavlovich to win.

No. 4 Magomed Encalef (17-1) vs. No. 5 Anthony Smith (36-16), light heavyweight
Odds: Uncalif (-550), Smith (+370), Over Under Rounds 2.5 (Over -155)

The Russian made his UFC debut at Enkalife 2018

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